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Change of US President will not relieve the Chinese tech sector of sanctions pressure
One of the main points of Donald Trump’s policy as President of the United States was the pressure on Chinese technology companies. At the same time, there was a policy of returning production to the United States. Trump upsets the decades-long balance of Western-Asian relations. Therefore, the main question for the presidency of newly elected Joe Biden is whether Trump’s policy towards the Chinese will continue or not?
Image source: Roberto Schmidt | AFP | Getty Images
In general, Asian technology companies from South Korea, Japan, China and other countries in the region do not expect sanctions to be lifted, but hope for some relaxation or streamlining of the sanctions initiatives of the new White House administration. We have already reported about this. In a fresh survey of experts, CNBC journalists tried to answer this question from Western experts. Looking ahead, we note that they all also agree that Biden will continue Trump’s course of limiting the Chinese technology sector. But the actions of his administration will be less impulsive and more likely to be targeted.
“The US doesn’t have many options. Either they allow China to dominate the world through technology, or they challenge it, ”said Abishur Prakash, a geopolitician at the Center for Future Innovation (CIF), a Toronto-based consulting firm. Biden may have his own approach to technology leakage in acquisitions and mergers, so he can take this into account to assess the degree of danger of Chinese companies on Trump’s blacklist.
According to Adam Segal, director of the digital and cyberspace policy program at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), Biden’s actions will rely on close collaboration with both the private sector and allies that Trump usually neglected. This will allow making decisions point-wise, tightening restrictions to the maximum on the most painful areas and giving concessions on less dangerous ones. “There will be fewer walls, but they will get higher”.
Paul Triolo, head of geotechnology consultancy Eurasia Group, agreed that the Biden administration will work with allies on its strategy for Chinese technology. According to him, “Biden’s team will clarify what should be monitored in the areas of new and fundamental technologies.”. In particular, new areas where the Chinese will not be allowed are artificial intelligence and quantum computing.
In summary, we can say that Trump’s behavior towards Chinese companies is viewed by experts as the behavior of an elephant in a china shop. Biden is expected to have Jesuit cunning coupled with the use of force, which makes the globalist camp different from him. But in general, the result for the Chinese will be the same: the pressure on the technology sector will continue.