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The surge in demand for electric vehicles will lead to higher prices for lithium, nickel and cobalt
In the past year, many automakers faced a noticeable decrease in demand for cars, although by the end of the reporting period it had grown sharply, but electric cars in some cases increased sales volumes several times. The continuation of this trend threatens both a shortage of materials for the manufacture of batteries and an increase in prices for them.
Image source: InsideEVs
More than five million electric vehicles will be sold globally in 2021, BloombergNEF predicts. Not all parts of the industrial infrastructure are ready for such a rapid growth in their popularity, which is stimulated by various kinds of government initiatives in many countries. Some states already by 2025 intend to either significantly limit the sale of internal combustion engines, or completely abandon their sale on the primary market.
Image source: BloombergNEF
Since sales of electric vehicles may grow by about 60% this year, traction battery manufacturers may face both higher prices for individual metals and a shortage of essential minerals. According to Trafigura analysts, prices will not rise to the level of 20221, when prices for lithium, nickel and cobalt rose, but prices will definitely rise compared to last year. According to Citigroup experts, prices for lithium used in the automotive industry will rise until the end of this year.
Pandemic complicates supply of cobalt from South Africa, further contributing to price increases. If the epidemiological situation improves, the aviation industry will also consume more cobalt, and metallurgists who use it in the production of stainless steel will also contribute to the rise in the price of nickel. This metal has already risen in price by 60% since March last year. This year, prices for metals used in the production of batteries should stabilize at an intermediate level, therefore, price increases will not be continuous.