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J.P. Morgan: Semiconductor stocks will rise 20% over the next year and a half
Last year, the pandemic-fueled demand for semiconductor components caused not only a shortage of them, but also an increase in stock prices in the semiconductor sector. Experts J.P. Morgan believes that the potential for further growth has not yet been fully selected, and over the next year and a half, quotes may on average strengthen by 15-20%.
Image source: Neowin
To Policy Brief J.P. Morgan cites Seeking Alpha. According to the source, the revenue of companies in the semiconductor sector in 2021 will increase by 8-10%, while the revenues of specialized companies will grow by 15-18%. Among the favorites of this year, the authors of the forecast include the shares of Broadcom, which is well diversified in terms of its presence in various market segments. Data center and networking components account for roughly a quarter of its revenue.
The continued high demand for semiconductor components enables J.P. Morgan recommend investors to buy stocks of companies that produce materials and equipment for lithographic production. These are KLA, Lam Research, Applied Materials and ASML. Their stock price dynamics will be sensitive to news on US trade policy towards China. If sanctions intensify, then the high degree of dependence of the first three suppliers on the Chinese market will lead to a decrease in their share price.
Among the favorable factors this year, analysts tend to attribute the improvement of macroeconomic indicators, the expansion of 5G communication networks, the growth of demand for smartphones with the support of these networks, as well as the recovery of the automotive market. According to IDC forecasts, the PC market will grow by 1.4% by the end of 2021, as demand still outstrips supply.